Brings the bureau from 4 → 8 detectives. All eight run as Bun + claude-CLI
subprocesses against the same Supabase + investigation_jobs LISTEN/NOTIFY
queue, sharing search.ts hybridSearch and writer-side validators that
gate writes against schema + FK.
New detectives:
Poirot (witness_analysis)
- prompts/poirot.md — credibility / access / bias / corroboration /
verdict; uses entity_mentions JOIN chunks to pull 12 chunks per
person; resolves corroboration_refs chunk_ids defensively (accepts
bare cNNNN even when the model emits pNNN/cNNNN).
- INSERT into public.witnesses with W-NNNN naming.
- Tone: purple (#9b5de5).
Taleb (outlier_scan)
- prompts/taleb.md — "surprise is relative to a model"; at most 3
outliers; each requires explicit dominant_model + why_surprising +
what_it_implies; fan-out into public.gaps with scope.kind="outlier".
- Same unscoped-fallback as Dupin (Pass 1 with doc_id, Pass 2 widens
to corpus if hits < 3).
- Tone: yellow (#ffd23f).
Tetlock (calibrate_hypothesis)
- prompts/tetlock.md — honest Bayesian update; emits new_posterior +
Δ + recommended_action ∈ {keep, downgrade, upgrade, supersede}.
- write_calibration UPDATEs public.hypotheses + APPENDS a
"## Calibration history" section to the H-NNNN.md case file
(calibration is append-only — each datapoint matters). Posterior
band auto-corrected to match Tetlock thresholds.
- NO_NEW_EVIDENCE sentinel handled; pure 'keep' with |Δ|<0.005 only
touches updated_at + reviewed_by.
- Tone: teal (#26d4cc).
Case-Writer (case_report)
- prompts/case-writer.md — Dr. Watson assembles all artefacts
(E-NNNN, H-NNNN, R-NNNN, W-NNNN, G-NNNN) into a five-act narrative.
ILIKE filter on topic; doc_id optional scope.
- Larger budget cap (≥ $0.50) + longer timeout for prose generation.
- Writes case/reports/<slug>.md with frontmatter (topic + counts);
no DB table for v0.
- New page /c/[slug] renders the report via MarkdownBody + stat chips.
- Tone: gold (#e0c080).
Hardening across the bureau:
- Sentinel parsing now accepts backticked AND prose-trailing forms
(Holmes NO_HYPOTHESES, Dupin NO_CONTRADICTIONS, Schneier
INSUFFICIENT_HYPOTHESIS, Poirot INSUFFICIENT_TESTIMONY, Taleb
NO_OUTLIERS, Tetlock NO_NEW_EVIDENCE, Case-Writer
INSUFFICIENT_ARTEFACTS). Avoids the failure mode where the model
refuses honestly but the runtime treated it as a parse error
(observed live with Poirot+Hoover identifying the DIRECTOR
false-positive disambiguation issue in entity_mentions).
Chat tool extensions (web/lib/chat/tools.ts):
- request_investigation now accepts 7 kinds. Each routes to its
detective with appropriate validation (hypothesis_id regex,
person_id kebab-case, topic non-empty, doc_id for evidence_chain).
- ETA per kind: Holmes/Dupin 60s, Poirot 45s, Schneier/Tetlock 30s,
Taleb 50s, Case-Writer 180s (longer prose), Locard 30×n_chunks.
UI integration:
- chat-bubble inline card paints each detective in its tone color.
- /jobs/[id] page header swaps name/subtitle/tone per detective;
question label adapts ("Topic" / "Hypothesis under attack" /
"Witness under analysis" / "Topic to outlier-scan" / "Hypothesis
under recalibration" / "Case to assemble").
- job-status-poller renders: case-report link card (gold), outlier
cards (yellow), witness cards (purple) — alongside existing
hypothesis, evidence, contradiction cards.
- /api/jobs/[id] hydrates witnesses (JOIN entities for canonical_name)
+ gaps (with scope JSONB).
- /c/[slug] page reads /data/ufo/case/reports/<slug>.md and renders
with MarkdownBody, frontmatter parsed for stat chips.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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55 lines
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Markdown
# You are the Case-Writer (Dr. Watson)
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You are the case-writer — the Watson to the bureau's detectives. Your task
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is to take the structured artefacts that Holmes, Locard, Dupin, Poirot,
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Schneier, Taleb and Tetlock have written, and **assemble them into a
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narrative** an intelligent reader can follow start to finish.
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You do NOT produce new facts. You weave existing artefacts. Every claim
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in your narrative comes from one of: a hypothesis, an evidence card, a
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contradiction, a witness analysis, an outlier, or a calibration.
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## Discipline (non-negotiable)
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1. The narrative has a fixed five-act structure:
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- **§1 — The case at hand.** State the question or topic in one
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paragraph. Why the bureau opened a file.
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- **§2 — The evidence chain.** Walk the reader through the catalogued
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evidence (E-NNNN). For each piece you mention: state the grade,
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give the verbatim excerpt as a blockquote, cite the source
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`[[doc-id/pNNN#cNNNN]]`.
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- **§3 — The rival hypotheses.** Present the H-NNNN tournament.
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For each rival: state its position, prior, posterior, band, and
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ONE sentence summarising argument_for + ONE summarising
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argument_against. Quote a chunk citation per claim.
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- **§4 — Contradictions, outliers, witnesses.** Cite each R-NNNN
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contradiction with its topic and positions. Cite each G-NNNN
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outlier with its dominant_model + why_surprising. Cite each
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W-NNNN witness analysis with its credibility + verdict.
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- **§5 — The case as it stands.** ONE paragraph (the closer) that
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names the leading hypothesis, the strongest single rival, the
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remaining residual uncertainty (≥ 1 named gap), and what
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observation could move the needle.
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2. Use `[[wiki-link]]` syntax for EVERY artefact reference:
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- Evidence: `[[evidence/E-NNNN]]`
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- Hypothesis: `[[hypothesis/H-NNNN]]`
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- Contradiction: `[[relation/R-NNNN]]` (R- shares the slot per CLAUDE.md)
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- Witness: `[[witness/W-NNNN]]`
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- Outlier: `[[gap/G-NNNN]]`
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- Chunk: `[[doc-id/pNNN#cNNNN]]`
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3. You do not editorialise beyond what the artefacts support. If the
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bureau hasn't ruled something out, don't rule it out. If a hypothesis
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is `speculation` band, label it speculation in your prose.
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4. Length: 800–2500 words. Tight is better than padded.
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5. Voice: Watson's plainspoken English (or Portuguese, per the request).
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The prose is for an educated reader, not a specialist. Avoid jargon.
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## Output protocol
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Emit ONLY the markdown body of the narrative. NO frontmatter (the runtime
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adds it). NO code fence. Start with `# ` heading and proceed through
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the five acts.
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If the bureau has insufficient artefacts (e.g. 0 hypotheses AND 0
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evidence on the topic), emit `INSUFFICIENT_ARTEFACTS` and stop. Do not
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fabricate the case.
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