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Author SHA1 Message Date
Luiz Gustavo
2ac42b99a7 W5.5 (Phase 3C): Sun-Tzu strategist feeder + entity hero illustrations
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Sun-Tzu (silent backend) — builds the strongest pro-anomaly brief the
corpus supports for any topic. Bilingual JSON: thesis + 2-4 pillars
(each with claim + citation-backed support) + honest residual
unexplained clause. NEVER surfaced reader-facing.

  Migration 0009 (apply as supabase_admin):
    public.pro_anomaly_briefs  brief_pk BIGSERIAL PK
                               brief_id B-NNNN unique
                               topic + topic_pt_br
                               thesis + thesis_pt_br
                               pillars JSONB
                               unexplained + unexplained_pt_br
                               doc_id, job_id, created_by, created_at
    + brief_id_seq sequence
    + GIN trigram indexes on topic + topic_pt_br
    + RLS policies (investigator INSERT, public SELECT)
    + GRANTs on seq + table to investigator

  prompts/sun-tzu.md
    "Adversarial strategist who plays the pro-disclosure side with the
    same rigour a red-team plays skeptic" — single thesis, 2-4 pillars,
    honest residual. Every claim cites a chunk. No fabrication from
    training-time knowledge. Output INTERNAL — case-writer pulls it.
    Bilingual mandatory. NO_STRONG_CASE sentinel when corpus is thin.

  detectives/sun_tzu.ts
    Grounds with hybridSearch top 18 chunks, calls Sonnet, parses
    JSON strict, calls writeProAnomalyBrief.

  tools/write_pro_anomaly_brief.ts
    Validates 2-4 pillars with bilingual claim+support, requires at
    least one [[wiki-link]] citation per pillar, INSERTs.

  orchestrator: new kind "anomaly_brief" dispatches Sun-Tzu.

Case-writer integration (detectives/case_writer.ts):
  - Pulls most recent matching brief via ILIKE on topic or doc_id.
  - Renders brief as a separate prompt section labelled
    "Strategic brief (internal — do NOT cite or attribute)".
  - Instructs the narrator to weave the thesis as a quiet through-
    line, use pillar facts in scenes, let the unexplained clause
    inform the closing paragraph. Forbidden to name "the analyst",
    say "a brief argues", or use the words "thesis"/"pillar"
    explicitly. Translate it into prose.

Entity hero illustrations:
  - 3 painterly editorial illustrations generated via Nano Banana
    Pro at 2K, stored under /data/disclosure/processing/case-art/:
    * EV-1947-06-24-kenneth-arnold-sighting.png — cockpit POV of
      Arnold in a CallAir A-2 over Mount Rainier, 9 chevron disc
      objects in formation, 1947 Life-magazine register.
    * EV-1947-07-08-roswell-incident.png — debris field in NM
      desert, USAAF officer in 1947 uniform examining foil
      fragments, period staff car.
    * EV-1947-06-21-maury-island-incident.png — wooden patrol
      boat on Puget Sound, 6 doughnut craft hovering, one
      shedding glowing slag, Harold Dahl + son + dog watching.
  - app/e/[cls]/[id]/page.tsx: full-bleed editorial hero replaces
    the old gradient header card when an illustration exists for
    that entity_id. Title sits over the painting with gradient
    overlay. "Ilustração editorial" chip in the top-right.

Quota note: Claude OAuth still rate-limited as of this commit, so
Sun-Tzu hasn't been smoke-tested in production. Code is shipped and
ready; first brief will land when the weekly quota refreshes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 16:41:20 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
f2b7b116ce W5.3 (Phase 3A): entity summaries — sub-pages get magazine-grade prose
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Today /sightings, /witnesses, /objects, /locations and /operations show
a name + mention count and nothing else. After this each row carries a
60-100 word bilingual narrative summary written from the chunks where
the entity actually appears.

Migration 0008 (apply as supabase_admin):
  public.entities  +summary_en TEXT
                   +summary_pt_br TEXT
                   +summary_generated_at TIMESTAMPTZ
                   +summary_model TEXT
                   +summary_status TEXT
                     CHECK ('pending'|'ai_generated'|'curated'|'refused')
  + index on summary_status
  + GRANT UPDATE (summary_*) ON entities TO investigator
  + new policy entities_investigator_update_summary (RLS UPDATE for
    investigator role)

Enrichment script (investigator-runtime/scripts/enrich_entity_summaries.ts):
  - Per-class config (chunk_k, min_mentions, max_per_class)
  - Path A: entity_mentions JOIN chunks (high-precision linker)
  - Path B (fallback): hybridSearch on canonical_name + aliases when
    entity_mentions returns zero. This is what unlocked Kenneth Arnold
    and similar entities — their wiki YAML has high total_mentions
    counted from frontmatter mentioned_in[], but the entity_mentions
    extractor was silent because the matches came from the wiki text,
    not the OCR chunks.
  - Sonnet 4.6 via OAuth Max, ~$0.04 per entity, ~$10 for the full
    260-entity bulk run.
  - INSUFFICIENT skip when chunks can't sustain a 60-word summary —
    refused entries get summary_status='refused' so they're not retried.

UI uplift:
  - lib/retrieval/entity-pages.ts: getEntityCore now prefers the DB
    summary (ai_generated or curated) over wiki YAML narrative.
  - components/entity-list-page.tsx:
    * SELECT now pulls summary_en, summary_pt_br, summary_status
    * Sorted with summary-enriched rows first (so the magazine grid
      lands on quality content immediately)
    * MagazineGrid: 4-line summary preview replaces aliases line
    * CompactGrid: enriched rows render as full editorial cards,
      bare rows fall back to a compact table below

Smoke results:
  - Kenneth Arnold sighting: "On June 24, 1947, pilot Kenneth Arnold
    reported sighting unidentified objects over the Pacific Northwest,
    and the account spread worldwide. It set off a run of similar
    reports: County Commissioner Crankes saw comparable objects after
    Arnold's account reached the press, and United Airlines pilot
    Emil H. Smith spotted flying discs on July 4 during a routine
    flight out of Boise, Idaho..."
  - Roswell Incident: includes Colonel Corso's 1997 book + the 1995
    GAO finding that radio messages from Oct 46–Feb 47 were destroyed
    + Senator Strom Thurmond's foreword. Real magazine-grade content.

Background bulk run kicked off across all 5 classes (event,
uap_object, person, location, organization) — populating live as
the homepage rebuilds.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 15:37:01 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
b3a6a3c1a3 W5.2: best-seller case-writer — single voice, scene-driven, anti-skeptic
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User: "shouldn't mention the names of the mind-clones, should merge all
analyses and write like a best-seller author would, about what happened."

Voice rewrite (prompts/case-writer.md):
  - Reference voices: Erik Larson, Sam Kean, John McPhee, Mark Bowden.
    Plainspoken non-fiction, scene-driven, fascinated.
  - One narrator. NEVER say "Sherlock Holmes argues" / "Sun-Tzu builds
    the case" / "the team concluded". No internal-process names reach
    the reader.
  - Hook the first paragraph. Open in a scene with a date, place, and
    person doing something specific. NOT "This case investigates..."
  - Show, don't argue. Verbatim quotes stay source-language in
    blockquotes; the narration around them is the narrator's voice.
  - Every claim cites a chunk with [[doc-id/pNNN#cNNNN]].
  - Forbidden ceremony: "In summary…", "Em suma…", "Ultimately…",
    "It is worth noting…", detective names, probability tables,
    hypothesis tournaments.
  - The honest unknown is the subject, not a failure: "Whatever was in
    the sky over Sandia in December 1948, the government never said."
  - 4-6 numbered scenes, each title-cased specifically ("The Green
    Sphere Over Highway 60" not "Background").
  - Bilingual EN + PT-BR per CLAUDE.md §3 — sections alternate, no
    mid-paragraph language mixing.
  - Refusal: emit INSUFFICIENT_ARTEFACTS rather than padding when the
    corpus is thin.

Raw-material pipeline (src/detectives/case_writer.ts):
  - hybridSearch(topic, lang, top_k=18) gives the narrator real corpus
    scenes with verbatim text + chunk_id citations + bbox metadata.
    This is what was missing — v1 only saw pre-digested hypothesis
    artefacts, which is how the academic prose got there.
  - Dropped the hypotheses + contradictions queries from the loader.
    They were skeptic-framing scaffolding that doesn't belong in the
    raw material a best-seller narrator works from.
  - New buildPrompt sections: "Primary-source scenes", "Curated
    verbatim quotes", "Anomalies and surprises", "Named witnesses".
    Anomalies (Taleb's outlier gaps) reframed: drop dominant_model
    skeptic baseline, keep title + why_surprising as gold material.
  - Refusal floor: < 4 scenes from hybridSearch → skip with reason.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 14:21:53 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
33dee46060 W4.3: Poirot direct-testimony floor — no defamatory verdicts on thin data
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Live failure surfaced by user feedback: Poirot wrote a low-credibility
verdict on J. Edgar Hoover (W-0002) based on 1 actual chunk and 11
entity_mentions false positives where 'DIRECTOR'/'DIRETOR' was linked to
him by mistake. Poirot's own bias_notes correctly identified this — yet
still produced a verdict. Published on a 'Disclosure Bureau' site, that's
libellously misleading.

Deleted W-0001 (Donald Keyhoe) and W-0002 (J. Edgar Hoover) from
public.witnesses + their .md files.

Prompt rewrite (prompts/poirot.md):
  - New "What counts as testimony" section up front, before discipline.
    Direct testimony = the person AUTHORED, was QUOTED verbatim with
    attribution, or GAVE testimony in a recorded hearing. Not: third-
    party mentions, generic title appearances ('Director'/'Diretor'
    that entity-extraction speculatively linked), CC lines.
  - HARD FLOOR rule: emit `direct_testimony_chunk_ids[]`. If < 3, refuse
    with INSUFFICIENT_TESTIMONY. For famous historical figures
    (Wikipedia-worthy public figures) the floor is 5.
  - Bias claims MUST cite a specific chunk; ungrounded bias claims drop.
  - Tone: "careful prosecutor preparing a brief, not debunker scoring
    points."

Defense in depth (poirot.ts):
  - Detective enforces the same floor before calling writeWitnessAnalysis,
    using a FAMOUS slug list (j-edgar-hoover, donald-keyhoe, j-allen-
    hynek, curtis-lemay, vannevar-bush, eisenhower, truman, kennedy,
    ted-bloecher, ...).
  - When the floor isn't met, emit `poirot_refused_floor` audit event +
    skip with reason like `insufficient_direct_testimony_1_of_5`.
  - Sentinel parser now also catches INSUFFICIENT_TESTIMONY when it
    appears on the first line of an otherwise-prose response.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 13:32:46 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
24f12a27f4 W4.1+W4.2: anti-AI-tics house style + bureau nav (back/home everywhere)
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Two complaints in one wave:

(W4.1) User: "Não pode ter vícios de IA como uso excessivo de '-' que a IA
coloca geralmente no lugar de vírgulas por exemplo. Isso deve fazer parte
do prompt geral."

  - New prompts/_house-style.md banning the 9 most common AI prose tells
    in both EN and PT-BR:
      1. Em dashes as comma replacements (—)
      2. Rule-of-three lists ("concrete, rigorous, and grounded")
      3. Conjunctive openers ("Moreover", "Notably", "Ademais")
      4. Superficial -ing analyses ("marking a shift", "destacando")
      5. Inflated symbolism + AI vocab (tapestry, navigate, delve,
         underscore, robust, multifaceted, marco histórico, ...)
      6. Negative parallelisms ("Not just X but Y")
      7. Vague attribution ("Some scholars say...")
      8. Summary closers ("In summary...", "Em suma...")
      9. Hedging fluff ("It's important to note...")
    Verbatim chunk quotes are explicitly exempt; preserve as-is.
  - claude.ts callClaude() lazily loads _house-style.md once per process
    and PREPENDS it to every detective's system prompt:
        composedSystem = houseStyle + "---" + detective.systemPrompt
    This means all 7 detectives + future ones get the rules without any
    per-prompt change.

(W4.2) User: "Quando entra em uma página da investigação não tem como
voltar! UX terrível!"

  - New <BureauNav> sticky topbar with explicit "← home" + "🔎 bureau"
    buttons + clickable breadcrumb trail. Always visible at the top of
    every bureau page so the user can escape in one click.
  - Wired into /bureau, /h/[hypothesisId], /c/[slug], /jobs/[id]. Each
    page passes its sensible parent crumb (/bureau#hypotheses,
    /bureau#reports, /bureau#jobs).
  - Replaces the previous plain-text "disclosure.top / hypothesis /
    H-0004" line which had no visual affordance.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 13:27:58 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
0a5c03c29a W4 followup: Poirot soft-truncate at sentence boundary
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Live PT-BR smoke on j-edgar-hoover produced verdict_pt_br at 304 chars
(prompt says ≤ 280). The writer correctly rejected it ("verdict too long
(304 > 280)") but the job failed instead of trimming.

Fix: detective now trims each language field at the nearest sentence
boundary (period or semicolon) above 60% of the cap; falls back to a hard
cut at the cap. Applied to verdict / verdict_pt_br (≤280), and to
access_to_event*, bias_notes* (≤800) for defense in depth.

The contract with the writer stays strict; the detective just becomes
forgiving about the model going 5-10% over.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 12:11:35 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
7826710051 W4: bilingual EN + PT-BR Investigation Bureau (CLAUDE.md §3 contract)
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User flagged that the bureau was emitting English-only output, violating
the project's bilingual rule. Every narrative field now ships in both
languages: stored in sibling DB columns + rendered as adjacent markdown
sections per CLAUDE.md §3.

Migration 0007 (apply as supabase_admin):
  - public.hypotheses    +question_pt_br, +position_pt_br,
                         +argument_for_pt_br, +argument_against_pt_br
  - public.contradictions +topic_pt_br, +notes_pt_br
  - public.witnesses     +access_to_event_pt_br, +bias_notes_pt_br,
                         +verdict_pt_br
  - public.gaps          +description_pt_br, +suggested_next_move_pt_br
  - public.evidence: unchanged (verbatim_excerpt stays source-language)
  - JSONB siblings inside contradictions.chunks + gaps.scope handled at
    runtime (statement_pt_br, title_pt_br, dominant_model_pt_br,
    why_surprising_pt_br, what_it_implies_pt_br).

Detective prompts (all 7) rewritten with explicit bilingual JSON contract:
  - Output protocol section names every EN field + its _pt_br sibling
  - "Bilingual is mandatory" warning in the task instruction
  - Sentinel skip-states unchanged (NO_HYPOTHESES, NO_CONTRADICTIONS,
    INSUFFICIENT_TESTIMONY, INSUFFICIENT_HYPOTHESIS, NO_OUTLIERS,
    NO_NEW_EVIDENCE, INSUFFICIENT_ARTEFACTS)
  - Schneier: parallel arrays — hidden_assumptions[i] matches
    hidden_assumptions_pt_br[i], lengths must match
  - Case-Writer: interleaved §1 (EN) / §1 (PT-BR) per act in the body

Writer-side validation (all 7 tools):
  - Reject INSERT if PT-BR sibling missing when EN field is set
  - Persist both languages atomically in one INSERT (no half-updates)
  - Markdown renderers write adjacent EN+PT-BR sections in case files
    (## Argument for (EN) followed by ## Argumento a favor (PT-BR), etc.)

Detective parse layer (all 7 detectives):
  - Coerce both keys from JSON output
  - "incomplete_bilingual_*" skip reason when either side missing
  - Defensive: PT-BR fields trimmed + length-capped same as EN

Orchestrator propagates question_pt_br + topic_pt_br through job payload
to runHolmes / runCaseWriter, mirroring the chat-tool entry point.

Web (UI):
  - /api/jobs/[id] hydrates _pt_br siblings from pg
  - job-status-poller HypothesisCard: PT-BR primary, EN in <details>
    fallback when both exist
  - ContradictionCard: PT-BR statement primary + secondary EN quote
  - WitnessCard: PT-BR verdict primary + secondary EN quote, panels in PT
  - GapCard: PT-BR title/why/implies primary
  - /bureau hub: SELECTs both columns, renders PT-BR primary
  - /h/[id]: ArgumentPanel renders PT-BR primary with collapsible EN
    fallback when both exist
  - BureauSnapshot homepage: position_pt_br / topic_pt_br / verdict_pt_br
    primary
  - DocBureauPanel /d/[doc]: same primary-PT-BR pattern
  - New web/lib/i18n/pick.ts helper (unused yet by chat/agents — kept
    for future locale-driven switching when both languages are equally
    full; current rule is PT-BR-first since the user is brasileiro)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-24 12:02:59 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
67185ff518 W3.9: surface the Investigation Bureau on the homepage + /bureau hub
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Closes a UX gap the user surfaced: W3.5-3.8 built 8 detectives, 4 new
URL endpoints (/jobs/[id], /h/[id], /c/[slug], /api/h/[id]/red-team)
and a chat tool, but the homepage was unchanged — the bureau was
invisible unless you knew the URL or asked the chat to invoke
request_investigation.

Homepage (web/app/page.tsx):
  - Title `▍ war.gov/ufo — Investigative Wiki` → `▍ The Disclosure Bureau`
  - Subtitle expanded from "Holmes · Poirot · Dupin · Locard" to all 8
    detectives (Holmes · Locard · Dupin · Schneier · Poirot · Taleb ·
    Tetlock · Case-Writer)
  - New `🔎 bureau` topbar link (gold, between graph/stats and batch)
  - BureauSnapshot inserted right after the header

BureauSnapshot (web/components/bureau-snapshot.tsx) — server component:
  - 8 detective tiles with role labels (each in its tone color)
  - 6 clickable counters (evidence / hypotheses / contradictions /
    witnesses / outliers / case reports) — anchor to /bureau#section
  - 6 "recent artefacts" columns surfacing the last 3-4 of each kind:
    hypotheses with prior→posterior + band + ↳reviewed_by marker,
    contradictions with topic + resolution_status, evidence with
    Grade badge + verbatim quote, outliers with title + scope.kind,
    witness analyses with canonical_name + credibility + verdict,
    case reports with slug + link to /c/<slug>
  - "Recent jobs" strip linking to /jobs/[id] color-coded by status
  - Reports read from /data/ufo/case/reports/ via fs.readdir + stat,
    sorted by mtime — no DB round-trip needed for that section

/bureau (web/app/bureau/page.tsx) — full hub:
  - Header with full counts
  - 7 sections (anchored to homepage counter links): Case reports,
    Hypotheses, Evidence, Contradictions, Outliers, Witnesses,
    Recent jobs table — each rendering up to 100 rows
  - Reports section parses frontmatter from each .md to surface topic
    + n_hypotheses + n_evidence on the card

Runtime fixes batched in:
  - Poirot: coerce entity_pk via Number() — node-postgres returns
    BIGINT as string by default; writer's Number.isFinite() rejected
    it as "person_entity_pk required" (j-edgar-hoover retry path)
  - Tetlock: write_calibration rationale cap 600 → 1200 chars. Prompt
    still asks ≤ 600 but a 2× slack beats failing the job on honest
    analysis. Observed live: Tetlock emitted ~620 chars on H-0003 and
    the writer rejected the entire calibration.
  - Case-Writer: Promise.all of 5 queries × max_parallel=2 jobs
    demanded up to 10 connections against the investigator role's
    rolconnlimit=4 → "too many connections for role investigator".
    Sequentialized — the LLM call is the hot path, not these queries.

Smoke results visible now on the homepage:
  - 3 hypotheses (H-0001/2/3) about green fireballs origin
  - 3 contradictions (R-0001/2/3) about color, geographic confinement,
    exclusive-green vs multicolored
  - 2 evidence cards (E-0002/3) Grade B
  - 3 outliers (G-0001/2/3) — including Taleb's deliberate
    meteor-shower-camouflage flag
  - 1 case report at /c/green-fireballs-sandia (Watson 13.4 KB,
    five-act narrative, fully cited)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 22:41:28 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
dd75a67964 W3.8: Investigation Bureau complete — Poirot, Taleb, Tetlock, Case-Writer
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Brings the bureau from 4 → 8 detectives. All eight run as Bun + claude-CLI
subprocesses against the same Supabase + investigation_jobs LISTEN/NOTIFY
queue, sharing search.ts hybridSearch and writer-side validators that
gate writes against schema + FK.

New detectives:

  Poirot (witness_analysis)
    - prompts/poirot.md — credibility / access / bias / corroboration /
      verdict; uses entity_mentions JOIN chunks to pull 12 chunks per
      person; resolves corroboration_refs chunk_ids defensively (accepts
      bare cNNNN even when the model emits pNNN/cNNNN).
    - INSERT into public.witnesses with W-NNNN naming.
    - Tone: purple (#9b5de5).

  Taleb (outlier_scan)
    - prompts/taleb.md — "surprise is relative to a model"; at most 3
      outliers; each requires explicit dominant_model + why_surprising +
      what_it_implies; fan-out into public.gaps with scope.kind="outlier".
    - Same unscoped-fallback as Dupin (Pass 1 with doc_id, Pass 2 widens
      to corpus if hits < 3).
    - Tone: yellow (#ffd23f).

  Tetlock (calibrate_hypothesis)
    - prompts/tetlock.md — honest Bayesian update; emits new_posterior +
      Δ + recommended_action ∈ {keep, downgrade, upgrade, supersede}.
    - write_calibration UPDATEs public.hypotheses + APPENDS a
      "## Calibration history" section to the H-NNNN.md case file
      (calibration is append-only — each datapoint matters). Posterior
      band auto-corrected to match Tetlock thresholds.
    - NO_NEW_EVIDENCE sentinel handled; pure 'keep' with |Δ|<0.005 only
      touches updated_at + reviewed_by.
    - Tone: teal (#26d4cc).

  Case-Writer (case_report)
    - prompts/case-writer.md — Dr. Watson assembles all artefacts
      (E-NNNN, H-NNNN, R-NNNN, W-NNNN, G-NNNN) into a five-act narrative.
      ILIKE filter on topic; doc_id optional scope.
    - Larger budget cap (≥ $0.50) + longer timeout for prose generation.
    - Writes case/reports/<slug>.md with frontmatter (topic + counts);
      no DB table for v0.
    - New page /c/[slug] renders the report via MarkdownBody + stat chips.
    - Tone: gold (#e0c080).

Hardening across the bureau:
  - Sentinel parsing now accepts backticked AND prose-trailing forms
    (Holmes NO_HYPOTHESES, Dupin NO_CONTRADICTIONS, Schneier
    INSUFFICIENT_HYPOTHESIS, Poirot INSUFFICIENT_TESTIMONY, Taleb
    NO_OUTLIERS, Tetlock NO_NEW_EVIDENCE, Case-Writer
    INSUFFICIENT_ARTEFACTS). Avoids the failure mode where the model
    refuses honestly but the runtime treated it as a parse error
    (observed live with Poirot+Hoover identifying the DIRECTOR
    false-positive disambiguation issue in entity_mentions).

Chat tool extensions (web/lib/chat/tools.ts):
  - request_investigation now accepts 7 kinds. Each routes to its
    detective with appropriate validation (hypothesis_id regex,
    person_id kebab-case, topic non-empty, doc_id for evidence_chain).
  - ETA per kind: Holmes/Dupin 60s, Poirot 45s, Schneier/Tetlock 30s,
    Taleb 50s, Case-Writer 180s (longer prose), Locard 30×n_chunks.

UI integration:
  - chat-bubble inline card paints each detective in its tone color.
  - /jobs/[id] page header swaps name/subtitle/tone per detective;
    question label adapts ("Topic" / "Hypothesis under attack" /
    "Witness under analysis" / "Topic to outlier-scan" / "Hypothesis
    under recalibration" / "Case to assemble").
  - job-status-poller renders: case-report link card (gold), outlier
    cards (yellow), witness cards (purple) — alongside existing
    hypothesis, evidence, contradiction cards.
  - /api/jobs/[id] hydrates witnesses (JOIN entities for canonical_name)
    + gaps (with scope JSONB).
  - /c/[slug] page reads /data/ufo/case/reports/<slug>.md and renders
    with MarkdownBody, frontmatter parsed for stat chips.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 22:11:39 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
857dd771d2 W3.8: Schneier red-team detective + /h/[hypothesisId] dossier page
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Adds the fourth AI detective in the Investigation Bureau runtime: Bruce
Schneier, who attacks an existing hypothesis as a red-team operator.

Runtime:
  - prompts/schneier.md — discipline (don't disprove, just attack;
    structured output with hidden_assumptions, failure_modes,
    alternative_explanations, recommended_tests, verdict_one_sentence;
    severity ∈ {low, medium, high}; emit INSUFFICIENT_HYPOTHESIS when
    the input is too thin)
  - src/detectives/schneier.ts — reads the hypothesis row + evidence
    chain (joined via evidence_refs FK), feeds Claude with the
    arguments + verbatim quotes, parses strict JSON object
  - src/tools/write_red_team_review.ts — UPDATEs hypotheses.reviewed_by
    + updated_at; APPENDS (or replaces if re-reviewed) a structured
    "## Red-team review (Schneier · X severity)" section to
    case/hypotheses/H-NNNN.md. Caps each list at 5 entries × 240 chars,
    validates verdict ≤ 280 chars.
  - orchestrator: new `red_team_review` kind dispatching to runSchneier

Chat + UI:
  - request_investigation gains kind=red_team_review + hypothesis_id arg
    (validated against H-NNNN regex); detective auto-resolves to schneier
  - chat-bubble inline card paints Schneier in red (#ff3344)
  - /jobs/[id] page swaps title/subtitle/tone per detective; the
    "Question" label becomes "Hypothesis under attack" for red_team_review

New /h/[hypothesisId] page (hypothesis dossier):
  - Server-rendered from public.hypotheses + public.evidence (joined
    via evidence_refs FK + chunk lookup)
  - Header: ID + creator + reviewer (highlighted when Schneier has
    visited), position as headline, question subtitle, Tetlock band
  - Prior + posterior bars with Δ-delta indicator
  - Argument grid: argument_for (green) vs argument_against (pink)
    side-by-side with [[wiki-link]] auto-linking to source chunks
  - Evidence chain: each E-NNNN with Grade A/B/C badge, verbatim
    blockquote, link to source page
  - Red-team review panel: parses the markdown section in the case
    file (severity badge, verdict, 4 bullet panels for
    hidden_assumptions / failure_modes / alternative_explanations /
    recommended_tests). Empty state when not yet reviewed.

RedTeamRequestButton client component + POST /api/h/[id]/red-team —
authenticated user can trigger Schneier in one click; UI swaps to
"acompanhar" link to /jobs/[id] once queued.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 21:48:12 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
25f19aee63 W3.7 followup: harden Dupin scoping + chunk_id parsing
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Two regressions surfaced in the smoke test that put Dupin from
0/3 contradictions written → 3/3 in the next run.

1. Single-doc scope was too narrow for Dupin's task.
   Holmes's question about Sandia returned 4 chunks scoped to one doc,
   but Dupin's terser "topic" form yielded only 1. Solution: Pass-1
   tries the requested doc_id; if the head is < 2 chunks, Pass-2
   widens to the whole corpus. Audit event carries `scope_widened`
   so the case-writer can later flag cross-doc contradictions
   distinctly. The unscoped retry hit 9 chunks and produced 3
   contradictions across 3 different docs.

2. Chunk-block header was ambiguous to the model.
   `--- doc-id/p007#c0042 ---` led Claude to parse `chunk_id` as
   "p007#c0042" or "p007/c0042" in the JSON output. write_contradiction
   then refused the FK lookup with "chunk not found". Fix:
   - Explicit `doc_id:` / `chunk_id:` / `page:` lines per chunk
     in the rendered block (no slashes/hashes the model can fold).
   - Defensive normalizeChunkId() in write_contradiction.ts strips
     any pNNN prefix and keeps only the trailing cNNNN — so the
     writer is forgiving without losing strictness on the topic +
     statement validation.

Smoke now produces (job 6deddf4b):
  R-0001 (3 chunks) — Color of the fireball(s) in incident summaries
  R-0002 (2 chunks) — Geographic confinement of green-fireball sightings
  R-0003 (3 chunks) — Whether the phenomenon was exclusively green or
                      also red/multicolored

R-0003 connects 3 different declassified documents: the Los Alamos
conference (exclusively-green category), a retrospective document
(red OR green), and Incident 229 (red, blue, yellow — no green).
Real cross-doc contradiction, fully cited.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 21:42:01 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
5ac53cb3e2 W3.7: Dupin contradiction-scan detective + UI integration
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Adds the third AI detective in the Investigation Bureau runtime: C. Auguste
Dupin, who scans a corpus shortlist for pairs (or small groups) of chunks
that cannot both be true under any ordinary reading.

Runtime:
  - prompts/dupin.md — discipline (no contradiction without ≥2 distinct
    chunk_ids; reject same-vocabulary near-misses; FEW high-confidence
    over MANY weak ones; emit `NO_CONTRADICTIONS` when corpus is silent)
  - src/detectives/dupin.ts — hybridSearch with k=18 (more chunks than
    Holmes because contradictions emerge from comparing dispersed
    claims), strict JSON-array parsing, AT MOST 3 contradictions per call
  - src/tools/write_contradiction.ts — validates topic + ≥2 positions
    drawn from ≥2 distinct chunks, resolves chunk_pk via DB lookup
    (rejects positions citing unknown chunks), INSERTs into
    public.contradictions + writes case/contradictions/R-NNNN.md
  - orchestrator: new `contradiction_scan` kind dispatching to runDupin;
    payload { topic, doc_id?, lang?, context_chunks? }

Chat + UI:
  - request_investigation gains kind=contradiction_scan + topic arg;
    triggered detective auto-resolves to dupin
  - chat-bubble inline card renders dupin in orange (#ff8a4d) to
    distinguish from holmes (cyan) and locard (green)
  - /jobs/[id] page swaps title + subtitle + tone per detective;
    "Question" label becomes "Topic" for contradiction_scan
  - /api/jobs/[id] hydrates public.contradictions when outputs[] surfaces
    contradiction_ids
  - job-status-poller renders ContradictionCard: topic + N positions
    (verbatim statements quoted, stance label optional, link to source
    chunk) + optional notes panel, with resolution_status badge
    (open/resolved/irreconcilable)

R-NNNN shares the contradiction_id_seq slot with relation per
CLAUDE.md naming — same conceptual class (a connection between two
pieces of evidence in tension).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 21:34:04 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
4d4c02a8e1 W3.5: Holmes hypothesis tournament detective
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Adds the second AI detective in the Investigation Bureau runtime: Sherlock
Holmes, who builds 2-3 rival hypotheses with calibrated priors + posteriors
against a corpus shortlist.

Pipeline:
  1. hybridSearch() grounds Holmes with 8-15 chunks via the same
     hybrid_search_chunks RPC the web uses (BM25 + dense + RRF). Default
     max_dense_dist=0.55 (runtime favors recall over precision; web's
     /api/search/hybrid stays at 0.40 for chat).
  2. claude-sonnet-4-6 emits a strict JSON array with position +
     argument_for + argument_against + prior + posterior + confidence_band
     + evidence_refs. Citations use [[doc-id/pNNN#cNNNN]] wiki-links.
  3. writeHypothesis() validates posterior ∈ [0,1], auto-corrects the
     Tetlock band from the posterior (high ≥0.90, medium 0.60-0.89,
     low 0.30-0.59, speculation <0.30), checks evidence_refs FK against
     public.evidence, INSERTs into public.hypotheses + writes
     case/hypotheses/H-NNNN.md.

Discipline guarantees (prompts/holmes.md):
  - posteriors across rivals sum to ≈1.0
  - no claim without chunk citation
  - prefer lower band when ambiguous (anti-inflation)
  - declarative one-sentence position, no hedging
  - emit `NO_HYPOTHESES` when corpus is silent (refuses to fabricate)

Smoke test (Sandia green fireballs 1948-49):
  - H-0001 prior 0.5 → posterior 0.2 (speculation): natural meteoric
  - H-0002 prior 0.3 → posterior 0.4 (low): classified weapons / tests
  - H-0003 prior 0.2 → posterior 0.4 (low): genuinely unidentified
  Bayesian update visible: "natural meteoric" prior dropped 60%; both
  rivals climbed. 4 unique chunk citations across the 3 hypotheses.

orchestrator dispatches `hypothesis_tournament` kind via runHolmes;
job marked `failed` if all rivals error, `complete` otherwise.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 21:19:43 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
54a26f8db8 W3 followup: drop _FOR_WEB token, fix claude CLI args + writer guards, BIGSERIAL grants
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Token consolidation:
- docker-compose web service now reads ${CLAUDE_CODE_OAUTH_TOKEN} directly,
  drop the W1-F8 CLAUDE_CODE_OAUTH_TOKEN_FOR_WEB indirection (user feedback:
  one var name, no _FOR_WEB suffix).

investigator-runtime claude.ts:
- --system-prompt silently dropped by CLI v2.1.150 for multi-KB prompts;
  inline the system content into the user prompt with a separator
  (mirrors scripts/reextract/run.py pattern).
- Multi-line prompts via positional -- broke ("Input must be provided …");
  pipe via stdin instead.
- --allowedTools "" is rejected; when no tools wanted, omit it and explicitly
  --disallowedTools the writer/reader set so the model can't reach for any.

investigator-runtime locard.ts:
- Log the raw response (first 600 chars) to container stderr — saved hours
  of debugging when the writer rejected.
- Grade fallback: when Locard omits `grade` but provides custody_steps,
  infer the highest grade that fits (≥3 → A, ≥2 → B, ≥1 → C).

investigator-runtime write_evidence.ts:
- Filter related_hypotheses entries with empty/null hypothesis_id silently
  (Locard sometimes emits [{}] when it knows no link yet) instead of
  failing the whole write.

Migration 0006_investigator_serial_sequences.sql:
- BIGSERIAL on the 7 investigation tables created auto-sequences
  (evidence_evidence_pk_seq etc) that 0004 forgot to GRANT to the
  investigator role. Without those grants every INSERT failed with
  "permission denied for sequence …". Grant USAGE/SELECT/UPDATE on each
  auto-seq.

Verified live: Locard wrote E-0002 + E-0003 from real Sandia chunks
(green fireball Feb 1949; cobalt particle analysis). Grade B, confidence
high, custody chain of 3 steps with honest gaps. Cost $0.09 for both,
~70s wall.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 21:05:35 -03:00
Luiz Gustavo
189a771cbe W3.1-W3.4: Investigation Bureau foundation — migrations, runtime, Locard
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Migrations:
- 0004_investigation_bureau.sql: 7 new tables (investigation_jobs + evidence,
  hypotheses, contradictions, witnesses, gaps, residual_uncertainties), id
  sequences, pg_notify trigger on investigation_jobs, RLS read-only public,
  investigator role with least-privilege grants (no service_role).
- 0005_investigator_write_policies.sql: fixup adding RLS INSERT/UPDATE
  policies bound to investigator + service_role + postgres (RLS with only a
  SELECT policy was silently blocking the worker's claim UPDATE).

investigator-runtime/ (new Bun + TS container):
- src/main.ts: LISTEN/NOTIFY poller, claim-with-SKIP-LOCKED, drain pool,
  healthcheck file, graceful SIGTERM shutdown.
- src/orchestrator.ts: chief-detective dispatch (evidence_chain → Locard).
  Marks job failed when all per-item outputs error; surfaces first errors.
- src/lib/{env,pg,audit,ids,claude}.ts: typed config (gate #8), pool +
  dedicated LISTEN client, NDJSON audit, sequence allocator (E-NNNN etc),
  claude -p subprocess with quota detection (api_error_status=429).
- src/tools/write_evidence.ts: schema-validate (grade A/B/C custody steps),
  resolve chunk_pk via FK, verify verbatim_excerpt actually appears in
  chunk content, INSERT + render case/evidence/E-NNNN.md + audit.
- src/detectives/locard.ts: load chunk → call Claude with locard.md system
  prompt → parse strict JSON → call writeEvidence locally.
- Dockerfile installs `claude` CLI (OAuth) at build time.

Compose:
- new `investigator` service builds from investigator-runtime/, connects
  with low-privilege role, mounts case/ RW and wiki/+raw/ RO, 512m mem cap.

Web:
- /api/admin/investigate/test (POST+GET) gated by middleware (W0-F1).
  POST creates a job, GET polls status. For W3.6 it becomes the chat tool.

End-to-end smoke: INSERT job → pg_notify → claim → Locard dispatch →
claude subprocess invoked. Auth works (CLI v2.1.150). Currently quota
exhausted (weekly limit · resets 3pm UTC) — pipeline catches the typed
isQuota error, marks job failed with surfaced reason. Architecture proven;
quota reset enables real evidence creation.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 19:49:33 -03:00